Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 87.973121 98.146630 108.532575 119.898178 131.956126 144.338831 157.987700
2025-02-09 71.212580 85.758458 101.257455 118.878901 138.239847 158.754725 182.027452
2025-02-16 60.674225 77.517196 96.052119 117.712902 142.094877 168.475018 198.962475
2025-02-23 53.805249 72.415887 93.473752 118.652684 147.553682 179.340446 216.604234
2025-03-02 47.667825 67.457945 90.447049 118.517403 151.303420 187.883082 231.292919
2025-03-09 42.974253 63.746326 88.467335 119.223373 155.696874 196.892804 246.287185
2025-03-16 37.959404 59.188070 85.097119 117.948343 157.497569 202.703368 257.443639
2025-03-23 34.995732 56.967109 84.361561 119.644459 162.642000 212.258501 272.808400
2025-03-30 32.526123 55.175506 83.989711 121.640474 168.032703 222.022784 288.364109
2025-04-06 29.161466 51.913597 81.537179 120.878277 169.947641 227.583997 298.932357
2025-04-13 25.433382 47.849334 77.804876 118.298465 169.469887 230.166090 305.886605
2025-04-20 24.485073 47.660923 79.124343 122.105431 176.835941 242.120727 323.926902
2025-04-27 23.149003 46.837396 79.570107 124.805216 182.885366 252.587932 340.344615
2025-05-04 20.598693 44.000094 77.133425 123.641378 184.016594 257.053949 349.578446
2025-05-11 18.294314 41.339806 74.786955 122.465884 185.028171 261.294566 358.479922
2025-05-18 16.845669 39.916826 74.094041 123.425490 188.710791 268.779369 371.280135
2025-05-25 15.209445 38.042112 72.649228 123.287399 190.921181 274.407164 381.805005
2025-06-01 13.945992 36.685432 71.880171 124.010345 194.203903 281.339551 393.907442
2025-06-08 12.279032 34.461072 69.708403 122.704507 194.767890 284.831150 401.768157
2025-06-15 11.479232 33.731289 69.742532 124.441591 199.312042 293.304871 415.750481
2025-06-22 10.807048 33.179197 70.011442 126.485527 204.251507 302.277775 430.361413
2025-06-29 9.579914 31.432863 68.339047 125.705068 205.384510 306.407672 438.969799
2025-07-06 8.101052 28.994881 65.443277 123.063103 203.940689 307.202611 443.393429